Reference file

Creator scorecard

creator-scorecard.md

Creator scorecard

Read this when choosing who to run a launch window with. This is not general creator sourcing. It is the narrower question of who can carry a post that will be worked hard in its first hour, which weights differently: a creator who will not answer their own comments cannot be worked, whatever their reach.

Scoring rubric

Dimension Weight Pass line and how to check
Hit rate 30% Share of their last 90 days of posts exceeding 3x their own average, above 10%. Compare each post to their own baseline, never to a category benchmark
Audience match 25% Follower composition overlaps the target buying group. Check the audience's disposition toward the category as well as its demographics; an audience that is hostile to the category will punish the post regardless of fit on paper
Hands-on ability 20% Can they actually use the product, build the demo, show the work? Creators who read from supplied copy are downgraded across the board. They cannot answer comments credibly, which removes the highest-leverage action in the window
Engagement authenticity 15% Engagement rate above 1.5%, with comment text that reads like people rather than bots
Brand safety 10% No history of crossing disclosure or conduct lines; visible habit of disclosing sponsorship

Hit rate carries the most weight because audience size only determines initial distribution. Content determines whether anything travels beyond it. A 60,000-follower account in the right niche with a 15 percent hit rate will outperform a 2,000,000-follower general account working from a script, and it costs an order of magnitude less.

Verification: three checks that catch most problems

Engagement rate against follower count. Well below one percent on a large account usually means purchased followers or a long-dead audience. Well above ten percent on a large account usually means purchased engagement.

Follower growth curve. Organic growth is uneven but continuous. Vertical steps mean bought followers. A single step of tens of thousands inside a day is not a viral post, it is a purchase.

Engagement time distribution. Real engagement spreads across the hours the audience is awake. Engagement clustered into narrow, repeating windows means an engagement service. This check catches what the first two miss.

A fourth, specific to this skill: look at whether they reply to their own comment threads. Open three of their recent posts. If the creator is absent from their own comments, the single highest-leverage action in the launch window is unavailable no matter what you pay them, and their posts will underperform their follower count.

Tiering a cycle

Tier Count Role
Head 1–2 Narrative reach and the trend-setting effect that gives the mid tier something to react to
Mid 10–30 The quality signal and the bulk of the hit rate. Where most of the return sits
Long tail 50–200 Density and template spread. Only meaningful in high-volume consumer motions

In small-roster motions the long tail does not exist, because the population of credible voices in a niche category is measured in dozens. That collapses the structure to head and mid, and it changes the economics: with no long tail to generate density, each mid-tier post has to carry more, which raises the value of working the window properly on every one of them.

Budget follows the same logic. Concentration beats spread: one head-tier placement or thirty mid-tier placements, not both diluted. The mid tier is usually where the same spend buys several times the effective reach, because head-tier pricing has been bid up by buyers who are still selecting on follower count.

Brief discipline

Give direction and constraints. Do not supply a script. Creators understand their own audience better than the brand does, and a scripted post is detectable, underperforms, and cannot be defended in the comments by the person whose name is on it.

Give the creator real product access early enough to form an actual opinion. A creator who has used the thing can answer questions in the window. A creator who has not will go quiet in the comments at exactly the moment the post needs them.